Gross Rent Multiplier: The Rubber Chicken of Commercial Property Analysis

January 5th, 2010 Dike Drummond Posted in Commercial Real Estate Investing, Due Diligence, Investor's Proforma, Market Research No Comments »

rubber_chickenNow a Rubber Chicken is pretty useless … except as a practical Joke. Let’s take a look at the most useless number in Commercial Real Estate. 

The Gross Rent Multiplier – the Rubber Chicken of Commercial Property Value Indicators.

The Gross Red Multiplier (GRM) is a number you will see on every Broker’s pro forma.  And it is touted as a measurement of the “Property’s Value”.  If anyone out there really sets a property’s value based on GRM … I have to wonder what they are smokin’.  I’m not really sure what a Gross Rent Multiplier measures, but it certainly is NOT the Value of the Property.
 

GRM is calculated by dividing the Property’s sales price or value by the Gross Potential Income. 

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Commercial Property Tenant Due Diligence Secrets

December 14th, 2009 Dike Drummond Posted in Commercial Real Estate Investing, Due Diligence, Office Property, Retail Property No Comments »

Due Diligence is the disciplined process you use to lower the risk of investing in Commercial Property. This risk typically comes in four “flavors” when you are investing in Commercial Real Estate.

  • Market Risk: Will the fundamental conditions of this market allow me to meet my return on investment (ROI) goals?
  • Financial/Performance Risk: Does the projected financial performance of this property meet my ROI goals
  • Tenant Risk: Will these Tenants allow me to meet my ROI goals?
  • Physical Risk: Will the physical structure of this property support my ROI goals?

The third area of risk… Tenant Risk… deserves special attention when you are buying Retail, Office and Industrial Properties. These property types carry an additional layer of risk you don’t see in Multifamily because your Tenants aren’t just living in your building… they are doing business within your Property.

Their ability to pay your rent is predicated upon the health of their business and not just on their ability to draw a paycheck.

In order to lower your Tenant Risk you must understand the nature and strength of the businesses of each of your Tenants. Where in Multifamily you might stop at reviewing the Tenant’s background check and payment history… in Retail, Office and Industrial you have to go further and really research the viability of each Tenant’s business. This has never been more important than in today’s economy.

No matter what your Lease says, if your Tenant goes out of business, you will have a vacancy to deal with.

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Researching your Tenant’s Business has several steps…

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Why your Property Manager is your Due Diligence workhorse

December 10th, 2009 Dike Drummond Posted in Commercial Real Estate Investing, Due Diligence, Property Management No Comments »

Never Ever Ever … take a property under contract without a quality local Property Manager on your team.

 

Our latest “hype-free” Commercial Power Hour Teleclass shows you why your Property Manager is the workhorse of your Due Diligence Team in all phases of the process – Market | Financial | Tenant | Physical. You will dramatically increase the risk in your investment without them on board.

 

Download your copy for FREE here

http://tinyurl.com/yea7lve

 

 

Hype Free Commercial Property training | Follow me on Twitter for the latest

 

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Foreclosure & Unemployment Interactive Map

August 13th, 2009 Dike Drummond Posted in Commercial Real Estate Investing, Due Diligence, Market Research, MultiFamily, The Economy, Uncategorized No Comments »

Here is a very cool little page on CNN/Money giving you the ability to see current Foreclosure and Unemployment rates for each state. Just mouse over your state and voila … nice.

This is a very basic screening for potential warm multifamily markets … ones with lower levels of both rates. AND remember, just because state level statistics are negative does not mean there are no local markets in the same state that show promise … all real estate is very, very local.

Here is the map … enjoy…

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Check your Tenant’s Financials – with a fine toothed comb

March 12th, 2009 Dike Drummond Posted in Commercial Real Estate Investing, Due Diligence, Market Research, Office Property, Retail Property, The Economy No Comments »

A couple posts back I recommended you have a cup of coffee with your Retail and Office Tenants to make sure they are financially stable in this historic downturn … Looks like Globe Street is recommending that these days too.

Great minds think ….

Here is the full post

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Six Investing Lessons – Bogle Style

January 19th, 2009 Dike Drummond Posted in Commercial Real Estate Investing, Due Diligence, Market Research, The Economy 1 Comment »

The January 8th edition of the Wall Street Journal has an editorial by one of the Titan’s of individual investing – John Bogle – the founder and former CEO of Vanguard Funds. The guy has been around a LONG time and here are what he calls “Six Lessons for Investors” … with my comments regarding Commercial Property Investing liberally inserted.

Lesson #1: Beware of Market Forecasts … even by experts.

He specifically says you might want to ignore the forecasts completely since most Wall Street strategists are paid to be bullish and almost all underestimate the risks of any particular investment. My spin: true for stocks and perhaps not as much of an issue for Commercial Property.

Certainly don’t believe a person trying to sell you on a particular Real Estate Market without stats and forecasts to back up their assertions. REIS and other reporting services really level the playing field here. You have access to the same statistics and market analysis the institutions use to make decisions. So, on this one, get out there and do the analysis and you will be able to make your own market forecasts of much higher quality than you will find on Wall Street.

Lesson #2: Never Underestimate the Importantance of Asset Allocation.

Now Mr. Bogle is talking about allocation between stocks and bonds here. This “lesson” is nothing new since studies have shown that asset allocation is the source of much of the returns you can expect from any portfolio. AND let’s widen things out here. Asset allocation into Commercial Property would have saved a lot of people a world of hurt in this recent Stock melt down. Read the rest of this entry »

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